The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything And take advantage of uncertaintywhat have the invention of the wheel, pompeii, the wall street crash, harry potter and the internet got in common why are all forecasters con-artists why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper this book is all about black swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters.Their impact is huge they're impossible to predict yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' will self, independent on sunday'he leaps like some superhero of the mind' boyd tonkin, independent

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything And take advantage of uncertaintywhat have the invention of the wheel,